It appears that the worst of the situation in India and neighbouring countries is in the past, though the Delta variant at the heart of the outbreak has spread well beyond India. The WHO is tracking cases of the variant reported by 62 countries. There have been a handful of hotspots of the Delta variant in the UK which have experienced new, localised waves. Whilst cases have been rising, deaths have remained low, which can be largely attributed to the adoption of COVID-19 vaccines. So, the race to vaccinate the adult population has become a sprint.  Based on the current rate of new vaccinations, most advanced economies will have provided at least one dose of vaccine to their adult population by the end of the year. However, if existing estimates of increased transmissibility of the variant prove to be correct, that may not be quick enough for many countries to avoid resurgences in the virus.

This chart is taken from Fathom’s Recovery Watch newsletter. Click here to subscribe.