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FOMC: when no surprise is a surprise

Last night the FOMC announced that it would begin the process of unwinding its QE …

Global outlook: it’s a mad, mad, mad, MAD world

The global economy is gathering steam. With one or two notable exceptions (the UK and, …

Markets price in lowest probability of a Greek default in almost three years

As European election uncertainty dies down and the cyclical economic upswing continues, volatility in financial …

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Thank Fathom it’s Friday – The folly of chasing tails

Ever watched a dog chase its own tail?

It’s a thankless task for the dog, but …

Thank Fathom It’s Friday – German students should head to the Med and learn how to spend

This author happens to be German and an economist. There are some perks associated with …

Thank Fathom it’s Friday – The unknown unknowns

“There are known knowns. There are things we know we know. We also know there …

Chart of the week

It remains far from certain that the Bank of England will hike in November
Last week, the UK Monetary Policy Committee struck a more hawkish tone, arguing that “some withdrawal of monetary stimulus [was] likely to be appropriate over the coming months”. As a statement of intent, we would not read much into this. Having struggled to rationalise the unexpected weakness in business investment and net trade in the second quarter, the Committee appears to be relying on consumer expenditure being firmer than forecast in order to justify the maintenance of its 0.3% GDP growth estimate for Q3. But data released last week confirmed our suspicion that the consumer squeeze intensified going into the third quarter. And with the key driver of the UK economy under assault, economic growth is likely to soften through the second half of this year, making it far from certain that the Bank will hike in November.

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Thank Fathom It’s Friday blog

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Central banks have misspent what is, in dog years, almost a lifetime chasing their own tails! It's not funny anymore goo.gl/ADBnCW pic.twitter.com/5ssUZQvILz

About 3 hours ago from Fathom Consulting's Twitter

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Global Economic Strategic Allocation Model (GESAM) of the interaction between the economy and financial markets in over 170 countries.

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Bespoke Projects: Examples

Investing in a time of negative yields

When ‘re-risking’ can be ‘de-risking’ Fathom and PIC pap ...
November 2016 Download

Scottish Independence

Economic consequences of independence for Scotland and the rest ...
June 2014 Download

Still time for TARP in the UK

A policy paper by Fathom Consulting exploring the role that the ...
March 2013 Download

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