Insights
Spread of COVID-19 is slowing for reasons other than lockdown
We find strong statistical evidence that the rate of spread of COVID-19 in countries affected by the virus has fallen, on average over time, for reasons unrelated to periods of lockdown. Despite a recent pickup in cases in parts of the world that had until now suffered relatively small outbreaks, this gives us some hope that the global economy can continue its cautious reopening, and steadily return to more normal levels of activity. That is why, over the past few...
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