A sideways look at economics

More than two years ago, my first Thank Fathom it’s Friday explored the question of how Formula One could transition to net zero by 2030. The solution? Optimise the racing calendar to minimise the total distance travelled from race to race. Easy. I even offered a revised schedule. Since then, there have been 53 iterations of fast cars going vroom vroom and Dutch stars going quicker than everyone else because the Red Bull car was the fastest… But has the motorsport taken any measures to rationalise its calendar? Or is more extravagant action required to decarbonise Formula One?

In July 2025, Formula One (F1) released a Sustainability Update covering its current trajectory to net zero by 2030. The headline: F1 has delivered “a 26% reduction (including sustainable aviation fuel certificates, or )[1] in its carbon emissions by the end of 2024 compared to its 2018 baseline”. This reduction comes despite an expanded calendar, rising from 21 races in 2018 to 24 from the 2024 season onwards. The fans have grown in number too. According to F1, race attendances are up from 4 million to 6.5 million, and the franchise’s global fanbase is around 826 million people — over 10% of the world’s population.

In 2018, logistics[2] and business travel contributed to 72.8% of F1’s emissions. As impressive as F1’s reductions are, these two categories still made up 72% of its emissions in 2024 — and when SAFc are excluded, the share rises to 74.9%. Analysing 2024’s race calendar, this is hardly surprising. In total, all ten teams travelled 71,552 nautical miles (nmi) last year, a 3.4% increase from 2018. In retrospect, the scheduling of races was an improvement on 2023 — last year’s season journeyed around 5846 nmi less than the year before, even with one additional race. But, alas, the consistent improvement did not last. This year, with the same set of Grand Prix locations as 2024, F1 will have accumulated 73,802 nmi, the equivalent of circumnavigating the world 3.4 times.

However, there is some hope. F1’s head of environmental, social and governance For example, rather than travelling from central Europe to Montreal, and then back again, the Canada Grand Prix will be held straight after Miami. The report states that “this change consolidates the European leg of the F1 season into a single period, eliminating an additional crossing for vital freight and equipment and delivering significant carbon reduction.” The result in geographical terms? A 6.8% decrease in overall calendar distance.

So, it appears F1 has had the same train of thought as me by considering calendar restructuring to reduce emissions. But had anyone at F1 subscribed to Thank Fathom it’s Friday, they could have just copied my optimised calendar, bunging the Chinese Grand Prix in after Melbourne. Had they done that, the total distance covered in the 2025 F1 race season could have been… 46,391 nmi. A whopping 37.1% reduction from 2024. Although this doesn’t imply that F1’s 2025 emissions would decrease by the same magnitude, it should certainly be the most straightforward change to make, right?

While the F1 franchise does produce positive externalities derived from R&D, driving forward sustainable fuel efficiency and automobile design, at the end of the day it’s still a private firm. Like any private firm, profit maximisation is of paramount importance. Holding every single Middle Eastern Grand Prix back-to-back would certainly cut the air miles of logistics and business travel, but at what detriment to ticket sales? Indeed, scarcity often increases the value of a normal good, so what’s the use of staging Miami’s race a week or two after the United States Grand Prix? Repeat customers are also inclined to consume F1 seasonally; if I enjoy eardrum abrasion, once per year, at the same time each year, you better believe an unexpected change in scheduling will shift my preferences. From F1’s perspective, it makes very little commercial sense to jeopardise any of the 6.5 million fans that attend races each year, regardless of the potential emissions reductions.

However, an alternative and arguably stronger argument exists, and one which could apply to a variety of sports transitioning to net zero. It concerns F1’s beating heart: the wellbeing of its staff who keep the show running. Last year, during the first 24-race season, drivers and their respective teams endured four [3]. Lando Norris and Charles Leclerc have both voiced concerns for the hundreds of travelling mechanics, engineers and team personnel who bear the brunt of the lengthy F1 calendar, often away from their families for extended periods. Max Verstappen has complained about the additional stress the sprint weekend format[4] puts on the mechanics. F1 president Stefano Domeniciali has mooted the idea of multiplying these newer races in the future, increasing F1 worker’s hours even further. But ultimately, the future success and sustainability of the franchise, and in turn its cash flow, is built upon F1’s staff. As such, their present and future wellbeing should be a strongly weighted variable within F1’s profit function.

Oftentimes, re-framing the problem from a monetary perspective, in this case underlining the importance of preventing staff burnout, can elucidate a simple solution’s utility! However, be warned; if no significant changes are made to the 2030 race-calendar, my next motorsport-related TFiF will be titled; ‘Why everyone should stop watching Formula One’. Arrivederci!

Formula One calendars

Leg2024 destinations2025 destinationsOptimised 2025 route2026 destinations
1Bahrain 2934.17 nmiMelbourne 8960.73 nmiMelbourne 8960.73 nmiMelbourne 8960.73 nmi
2Jeddah 687.18 nmiShanghai 4349.53 nmiShanghai 4349.53 nmiShanghai 4349.53 nmi
3Melbourne 6911.83 nmiNagoya 811.88 nmiSingapore 2055.75 nmiNagoya 811.88 nmi
4Nagoya 4404.16 nmiBahrain 4350.42 nmiNagoya 2745.98 nmiBahrain 4350.42 nmi
5Shanghai 811.88 nmiJeddah 687.18 nmiJeddah 5029.41 nmiJeddah 687.18 nmi
6Miami 7167.27 nmiMiami 6279.11 nmiBahrain 687.18 nmiMiami 6279.11 nmi
7Bologna 4400.56 nmiBologna 4400.56 nmiDoha 76.67 nmiMontreal 1227.25 nmi
8Monte Carlo 175.35 nmiMonte Carlo 175.35 nmiAbu Dhabi 161.36 nmiMonte Carlo 3306.34 nmi
9Montreal 3306.34 nmiBarcelona 271.40 nmiBaku 980.70 nmiBarcelona 271.40 nmi
10Barcelona 3184.36 nmiMontreal 3184.36 nmiLondon 2143.80 nmiSpielberg 644.16 nmi
11Spielberg 644.16 nmiSpielberg 3452.81 nmiAmsterdam 192.92 nmiLondon 636.52 nmi
12London 636.52 nmiLondon 636.52 nmiLiege 106.90 nmiLiege 220.95 nmi
13Budapest 782.40 nmiLiege 220.95 nmiBudapest 561.48 nmiBudapest 561.48 nmi
14Liege 561.48 nmiBudapest 561.48 nmiSpielberg 173.48. nmiAmsterdam 618.75 nmi
15Amsterdam 106.90 nmiAmsterdam 618.75 nmiBologna 217.56 nmiMilan 447.96 nmi
16Milan 447.96 nmiMilan 447.96 nmiMilan 108.58 nmiMadrid 641.37 nmi
17Baku 1793.68 nmiBaku 1793.68 nmiMonte Carlo 128.53 nmiBaku 2409.03 nmi
18Singapore 3750.99 nmiSingapore 3750.99 nmiBarcelona 271.40 nmiSingapore 3750.99 nmi
19Austin 8545.46 nmiAustin 8545.46 nmiMontreal 3184.36 nmiAustin 8545.46 nmi
20Mexico City 654.73 nmiMexico City 654.73 nmiMiami 1227.25 nmiSão Paulo 4370.78 nmi
21São Paulo 4012.73 nmiSão Paulo 4012.73 nmiMexico City 1115.28 nmiMexico City 4012.73 nmi
22Las Vegas 5281.80 nmiLas Vegas 5281.80 nmiAustin 654.73 nmiLas Vegas 1312.22 nmi
23Doha 7041.13 nmiDoha 7041.13 nmiLas Vegas 941.11 nmiDoha 7041.13 nmi
24Abu Dhabi 161.36 nmiAbu Dhabi 161.36 nmiSão Paulo 5281.80 nmiAbu Dhabi 161.36 nmi
25Back to HQ 3150.92 nmiBack to HQ 3150.92 nmiBack to HQ 5034.04 nmiBack to HQ 3150.92 nmi
Total71,551.54 nmi73,801.79 nmi46,390.50 nmi68,769.65 nmi
Source: Formula One / Fathom Consulting

 

[1] A SAFc is a market mechanism for carbon offsetting that represents the environmental attributes of a metric ton of sustainable aviation fuel. They enable firms to purchase, track, and claim the emissions reductions of using SAF without having to buy the physical fuel.

[2] F1 utilises travel by air, land and sea to conduct its logistics. Between races, a proportion of equipment may be transported back to a team HQ, however, most of the equipment as well as team staff will go directly from one race to the next. Within the European portions of a season, most business travel/ logistics is via truck.

[3] A double-header implies two races in a row, in back-to-back weekends, and a triple-header implies three races in a row, back-to-back-to-back, involving a period of weeks away from homes and families for many F1 staff.

[4] Introduced in 2021, a sprint weekend is identical to a traditional Grand Prix weekend but extended with an additional short race named ‘The Sprint’. It covers around a third of a typical Grand Prix distance, and there are no mandatory pit stops.

 

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