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Fears about deflation have been growing for some time now, and the euro area is already seeing falling prices year on year on its headline measure. However, much of the downward pressure on inflation around the world to date has been due to falling commodity prices.

Read about it on Reuters’ Alpha Now

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  • According to the official data released last week, Chinese growth hit a 24-year low of 7.4% in 2014.
  • Our own China Momentum Indicator (CMI) stood at just 3.9% in December. It points to much weaker growth, and a more dramatic slowdown, than the official data.
  • The CMI supports signals coming from commodities markets that China is slowing rapidly. In our view China is now in a hard landing.

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New Report: Who carries the risk?

Fathom’s Chief Economist, Andrew Brigden, will discuss the findings of the report at the NAPF Investment Conference on 12 March 2015.

Who carries the risk? Executive summary / NAPF Conference

Multimedia

US growth slowdown masks surge in private consumption

ECB’s QE-lite unravels as Greece votes

UK slowdown has further to go

CMI at 3.9% confirms hard landing for China

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Where do you see sterling in 12 months’ time?

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US growth slowdown masks surge in private consumption - Latest Fathom update. For more info, enquiries@fathom-consulting.com

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COMPREHENSIVE GLOBAL COVERAGE

Global Economic Strategic Allocation Model (GESAM) of the interaction between the economy and financial markets in over 170 countries.

Our Global Economic and Markets Outlook (GEMO) is a quarterly service that follows a single chain of logic to combine macro economic scenarios for the global economy with an optimal asset allocation.

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BESPOKE PROJECTS: EXAMPLES

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