Thank Fathom it's Friday Archives - Page 33 of 40

The 21st-century economist

Andrew Harris26 January 2018|

A former colleague of mine once told me how, as a junior economist, he used to record economic data releases in pencil. Pencil, he told me, was the key so that data could be erased to make way for subsequent revisions! Nowadays, Fathom's economists can simply click refresh on their Datastream Excel add-in; economic research has come a long way... Last week we argued that economists currently have little to fear from artificial intelligence (AI). We argued that economists add

Economics, artificial intelligence and the rise of machine learning

Oliver White19 January 2018|

It’s fair to say that computers have come a long way. Wind the clock back 80 years and Colossus, one of the first electronic computers, whose name was fitting of its size, was built during the second world war to decrypt secret German codes. Almost inconceivably, it used vacuum tubes and paper tape to perform several basic Boolean (e.g. true/false) logical operations. But fast forward to 2018 and not only do we carry them around in our pockets, but computers

UK – the fat cat of Europe

Joanna Davies12 January 2018|

It seems fitting that the NHS, which celebrates its 70th anniversary in July, should be the subject of one of the first TFiFs of the New Year. It is, after all, a time when many of us commit to year-long goals, the vast majority of which, it seems, relate to health and wellbeing. The bacon is banished, and quinoa and pulses fill the trolley in a bid to finally undo years of overindulgence and gluttony. Just over half of us

Is there such a thing as too much leave?

Andrew Brigden5 January 2018|

With the Christmas and New Year break now but a dim and distant memory, our thoughts turn naturally to the subject of annual leave. Are we getting enough? Or are we getting too much? These questions aren’t as daft as they might seem. Statutory leave — the minimum amount of paid holiday to which a full-time employee is legally entitled — varies enormously from country to country. With 28 days of statutory leave, including any public holidays observed by the

Reasons to be cheerful

Erik Britton22 December 2017|

A friend used to coach table tennis to a very high level. He told me about a girl he was coaching, who had a shot at representing Great Britain at the Olympics in due course (she was aged 14 at the time). He said the most difficult part of coaching her was to shift her energy and attention from the negative to the positive: "She would spend hours, and wake up at night, fretting about the one tiny mistake she

Tax the rich?

Kevin Loane15 December 2017|

People say that there's a grain of truth in every joke. If you watch enough stand-up comedy, you can find interesting economic observations too. In a performance from the 2000s, Chris Rock distinguishes between the rich and the wealthy. He says that Shaquille O'Neal, the NBA superstar, is rich; the team owner, who pays his multi-million-dollar salary, is wealthy. He goes on to list reasons why that distinction matters. Wealth, he points out, creates more wealth. It's passed from one

Can Taylor Swift solve the productivity crisis?

Brian Davidson8 December 2017|

Productivity growth has been dire in many advanced economies over the last decade. And there's plenty of disagreement among economists about why this has happened. To us, ultra-loose monetary policy is the problem. To others, measurement issues brought about by technological change, are to blame. In this Thank Fathom it's Friday we look at some of these measurement issues and discuss how Taylor Swift is doing her best to solve them. Proponents of the 'it's a measurement issue' theory point out how

Less is more?

Andrew Brigden1 December 2017|

A chart has been doing the rounds among Fathom staff. It shows a strikingly close relationship between the average hours worked per worker across the major economies, and the output per hour of those workers. The longer people work, it seems, the less productive they are. A number of our employees have even argued that this should cause Fathom management to reduce the length of the working week. Admittedly, the correlation is remarkably high. Have we stumbled across a solution

Out with the old and in with the new this Christmas

Joanna Davies24 November 2017|

The saying "one man's trash is another man's treasure" may carry more weight than usual this Christmas. For the first time in several years, the prices of goods and services have risen by more than wages, meaning that the average UK worker is worse-off in inflation-adjusted terms this year, than last. While some households will dip into their savings as a means of preserving real consumption and saving Christmas, others will opt to borrow more. But those constrained by a

Fancy a flutter?

William Hynes17 November 2017|

Brexit: 7/1 for the UK to leave the EU. Trump: 5/1 to win the next presidential election. Do bookmakers know anything about politics? Today we aim to answer that question. First impressions are important, or so they say. In my first week at Fathom, a colleague was looking slightly bemused when assessing the odds on the timing of the next UK general election. I quickly volunteered my services, confessing to a certain level of expertise regarding betting markets. Maybe not