False springs

20 March 2026|

A few sunny days in March are enough to do strange things to people. Coats come off, garden chairs reappear, convertible roofs go down, and someone, somewhere, confidently declares that winter is over. In Britain this is normally followed, within days, by a sharp reminder that it is not. The temperature drops, the heating goes back on, and everyone goes back to behaving as if they had never trusted the weather in the first place. Markets have much the same

Cricket’s newest metric

13 March 2026|

Cricket has embraced data, especially since the advent of modern T20 cricket, both to analyse performances and in many cases to gain a tactical edge over opposition teams. However, one statistic that I have seen missing from mainstream cricket is ‘expected runs’ – that is to say, a measure of how many runs a batter should score off any given ball, on average. The idea is that if a batter has scored more runs than expected, they have played particularly

It’s more than just a shirt

6 March 2026|

I recently went thrift shopping with a few friends and couldn’t help but notice how many articles of clothing from fast-fashion chains were popping up in the racks. Charity shops used to be stocked with branded sweaters and jeans from several decades ago – pieces of clothing that had stood the test of time. But behaviours are shifting; truthfully, they have been for a few years now. We are cycling through clothing faster than ever. Chain stores are capitalising on any

Having a bad day?

27 February 2026|

My journey to work a few weeks ago began with a distinct sense of January gloom. After glancing out of my flat window at the grey skies and misty drizzle, I made a beeline for the nearest Lime bike bay to claim the bike I’d reserved – it was the last one left. As I got closer to my green iron horse, a teenager in a parka jacket made some type of kick to the back wheel, jumped on the

The most efficient language

20 February 2026|

I spend far too long writing emails. Before eventually hitting send, I have re-read and edited the message countless times. I double-check any information, of course, but most of my time is spent trimming it down. Repetitions are removed and waffle cut, within the constraint of not sounding rude or robotic. The objective is to maximise brevity and clarity whilst minimising the probability of miscommunications. The other constraint here is my time, which I am currently overspending. It takes effort

The Great British driving test debacle

13 February 2026|

It’s a well-established fact that most road users consider themselves to be better-than-average drivers. I am not like most people. I consider myself to be a distinctly average driver. I’m probably better than average at some things and definitely worse than average at others. (Seriously, never ask me to parallel park in a hurry.) In short, I’m very glad that I don’t have a driving test anytime soon. But it turns out that skill might not be the biggest barrier

A love letter to biscuits

6 February 2026|

Last year, I wrote a TFiF that was published on Valentine’s Day. I didn’t take the bait and instead wrote a deep dive on the pros and cons of being a lefty. Romantic for some, perhaps. By chance, my turn to write the company blog has come round near Valentine’s Day again, so this year I decided to write about something that almost everyone in the UK has developed an affection for at one point or another... biscuits! Whether you’re

We need to talk about Kevin again

30 January 2026|

Donald Trump has announced Kevin Warsh as his nominee to be the next Chair of the Federal Reserve. Mr Warsh is a former Fed official and came close to securing the nomination in President Trump’s first term before ultimately losing to Jerome Powell. I wrote a piece at the time that covered his views, noting that he was a firm critic of unconventional monetary policies, such as quantitative easing (QE), that were implemented in the aftermath of the Global Financial

How alliances become empires

23 January 2026|

History rarely repeats itself. But one thing that can be remarkably consistent is the way power hardens, through rules, obligations, and the institutions that administer them. Today's debates on tariffs and defence spending have echoes of Greece in the fifth century before the Common Era (BCE) – not because our world resembles theirs, but because it shows how a security alliance can acquire a fiscal core, and how that fiscal core can quietly become a source of leverage. In 490

More than just a group chat

16 January 2026|

Last December I was debating with some friends who among us swore the most. Naturally, no one accepted any of the accusations thrown their way and the conversation reached no consensus. As a Fathom economist and a data nerd, this got me thinking: there must be a way to answer this question empirically. That’s when I realised that I actually do have a treasure trove of untapped data that I could use to answer this question: our WhatsApp group chat.